Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 528.456412 561.943092 596.736860 635.648598 678.024512 722.854671 773.972258
2026-02-08 487.259251 533.680666 583.864132 642.365195 708.965241 782.749789 871.125918
2026-02-15 456.180540 510.400027 570.727165 643.247813 728.619115 826.618607 948.630913
2026-02-22 432.152348 491.846675 559.828627 643.633358 745.070545 865.054605 1019.489725
2026-03-01 414.047879 478.203754 552.749169 646.687255 763.221945 904.818369 1092.676942
2026-03-08 396.549198 463.801218 543.311344 645.445300 774.926519 936.073398 1155.815069
2026-03-15 382.293278 452.257403 536.288926 646.146804 788.248931 969.123539 1222.272718
2026-03-22 369.198485 441.286886 529.116412 645.800866 799.558335 999.410655 1286.076325
2026-03-29 357.579436 431.472537 522.698688 645.725104 810.689018 1029.410319 1350.625888
2026-04-05 348.600254 424.483693 519.367022 649.198425 826.278380 1065.713292 1425.722365
2026-04-12 338.965632 416.165368 513.816548 649.222117 836.826120 1095.156117 1492.260593
2026-04-19 332.293244 411.344447 512.502547 654.663455 854.793896 1135.569741 1577.183438
2026-04-26 326.214466 407.055416 511.676223 660.645750 873.687325 1178.185930 1668.283215
2026-05-03 320.921858 403.552719 511.664985 667.590184 894.054784 1223.760335 1766.837662
2026-05-10 313.792683 397.286616 507.590968 668.503926 905.478854 1256.287432 1846.466038
2026-05-17 306.934928 391.121142 503.367521 668.907950 915.970672 1287.665896 1926.040499
2026-05-24 301.452706 386.622424 501.231557 672.122956 930.643662 1326.044971 2019.770003
2026-05-31 294.777285 380.242218 496.199700 670.815330 938.216569 1353.385707 2096.207102
2026-06-07 289.129120 375.097792 492.700912 671.553903 948.837245 1385.958648 2183.917735
2026-06-14 283.426875 369.690742 488.617626 671.189681 957.586492 1415.737462 2268.542511
2026-06-21 278.097470 364.642107 484.859275 671.109916 966.665791 1446.356807 2356.763005
2026-06-28 274.147532 361.427149 483.623442 674.766956 981.797310 1487.821821 2468.399476
2026-07-05 269.313425 356.797735 480.152417 674.791903 990.914968 1519.304347 2563.110801